Essays

  • On Agency

    Tl;dr: lots of people benefit from pursuing “agency”. But there are nearby concepts that are bad for you. Agents don’t have to become impressive rule-breaking boss types if that doesn’t actually achieve their goals. Individual agency can undermine groups. Agency can backfire if you lack knowledge and incorrectly reject commonsense. Learning your goals will take a lifetime and you can...

  • Medical Prediction Markets

    I’m pretty committed to the project of reducing existential risk from AGI. But every now and again I’ll be tempted to start a business, and instead just write a pitch for it. I would love this to actually exist, so please feel free to steal it. If you do, and you’d like to discuss them, send me an email and...